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{"id":7373,"date":"2020-11-04T16:51:06","date_gmt":"2020-11-04T19:51:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bitcointoyou.com\/blog2\/categoria-2\/a-influencia-da-eleicao-nos-eua-no-valor-do-btc\/"},"modified":"2020-11-04T16:51:06","modified_gmt":"2020-11-04T19:51:06","slug":"a-influencia-da-eleicao-nos-eua-no-valor-do-btc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bitcointoyou.com\/blog\/criptomoedas\/a-influencia-da-eleicao-nos-eua-no-valor-do-btc\/","title":{"rendered":"A influ\u00eancia da elei\u00e7\u00e3o nos EUA no valor do BTC"},"content":{"rendered":"

O valor do BTC e a influ\u00eancia da elei\u00e7\u00e3o nos EUA<\/span><\/h2>\n

Sem d\u00favida as elei\u00e7\u00f5es presidenciais dos Estados Unidos \u00e9 um evento que concentra a aten\u00e7\u00e3o do mundo. Sendo assim, o meio blockchain n\u00e3o fica de fora e o pre\u00e7o do BTC<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0 j\u00e1 come\u00e7a a se mover enquanto o resultado se aproxima.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

Pre\u00e7o do Bitcoin nas elei\u00e7\u00f5es de 2016<\/span><\/h3>\n

Nas elei\u00e7\u00f5es de 2016, o pre\u00e7o do criptoativo era de apenas US$700, antes dos EUA anunciarem um vencedor. Logo ap\u00f3s a derrota de Hillary Clinton, o BTC chegou a marca de US$735. Olhando para o cen\u00e1rio atual, vemos que o Bitcoin teve um crescimento de cerca de 19x, pois no momento da escrita do artigo ele est\u00e1 sendo negociado acima de US$14.000.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pre\u00e7o do Bitcoin nas elei\u00e7\u00f5es de 2012<\/span><\/h3>\n

Se voltarmos ainda mais no tempo, veremos que em 2012, com a vit\u00f3ria de Obama, o Bitcoin saiu de US$11,20 para US$12,56. J\u00e1 no segundo mandato de Obanma, o BTC j\u00e1 contava com uma valoriza\u00e7\u00e3o de 1000x.<\/span><\/p>\n

Comportamento do Bitcoin no in\u00edcio da vota\u00e7\u00e3o de 2020<\/span><\/h3>\n

Enquanto 260 milh\u00f5es de eleitores registrados nos Estados Unidos est\u00e3o lutando para manter a democracia em seu pa\u00eds e eleger o 46.\u00ba presidente, as baleias do mercado de criptoativos come\u00e7aram a deixar o BTC mais saud\u00e1vel ao retir\u00e1-lo das corretoras. S\u00f3 para exemplificar, 17.329 BTC foram retirados da Huobi. Al\u00e9m disso, 33.419 BTC deixaram a Binance.<\/span><\/p>\n

O que esperar para das primeiras horas ap\u00f3s as elei\u00e7\u00f5es?<\/span><\/h3>\n

Como o Bitcoin tem andado lado a lado com o S&P500, n\u00e3o podemos desconsiderar o movimento do \u00edndice. Mesmo que Biden n\u00e3o tivesse vencido as elei\u00e7\u00f5es, o mercado tradicional iria apresentar alguma rea\u00e7\u00e3o. No \u00faltimo preg\u00e3o, por exemplo, o S&P500 fechou com uma pequena corre\u00e7\u00e3o. Semelhantemente, o Bitcoin passou por uma queda e foi negociado abaixo de US$13.300.<\/span><\/p>\n

Apesar de esse cen\u00e1rio j\u00e1 estar pintado, h\u00e1 alguns analistas, como Ed Yardeni, que ainda acreditam (saiba mais clicando aqui<\/strong><\/a>) no S&P500 e afirmam que ele pode chegar aos m\u00e1ximos anuais ainda em 2020. Assim sendo, se a correla\u00e7\u00e3o do \u00edndice e do Bitcoin se manter, o criptoativo pode disparar e alcan\u00e7ar sua alta hist\u00f3rica ainda esse ano, pois o BTC n\u00e3o costuma apresentar corre\u00e7\u00f5es na subida do S&P500.<\/span><\/p>\n

Conclus\u00e3o: o que esperar?<\/span><\/h3>\n

Apesar de as elei\u00e7\u00f5es estarem no centro das aten\u00e7\u00f5es, o que vir\u00e1 ap\u00f3s os resultados tamb\u00e9m deve ser considerado. Os crescentes casos de COVID-19 s\u00e3o de fato uma grande preocupa\u00e7\u00e3o de Wall Street. <\/span><\/p>\n

Os Estados Unidos atingiram novamente cerca de 100.000 casos por dia. Isso certamente influenciar\u00e1 o Federal Reserve a continuar com seus est\u00edmulos. Ou seja, mais um ponto que mostra que o BTC pode subir, pois, de acordo com diversos analistas, os incentivos econ\u00f4micos do FED s\u00e3o uma das principais raz\u00f5es para o pre\u00e7o do Bitcoin decolar.<\/span><\/p>\n

Embora Biden tenha vencido as elei\u00e7\u00f5es, a atra\u00e7\u00e3o dele e de Trump para o mercado era a mesma, pois os legisladores ter\u00e3o maior controle sobre o processo de tomada de decis\u00e3o. Tudo est\u00e1 cooperando para que o Bitcoin tenha seu melhor \u201cano eleitoral\u201d em 2020.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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